Retail Inventory of “Doc McStuffins” toys and impact

An article in Bloombergbusinessweek titled “This Christmas, Disney’s Doctor is In” (December 9, 2013) describes the quadrupling of retail shelf space for the Disney Toy Doc McStuffins – a toy girl that fixed broken toys, has a medical doctor mother and a stay at home dad. The article reports stores running out of the toy last Christmas, with sales on Ebay of the toy fetching more than double its $10 retail price. But Disney has also added new accessories such as beds, band-aids and checkup kits targeted at boys to boost demand. Does the rising retail inventory suggest that the toy will be the big seller this Christmas or that retailers will push it strongly and thus make it one ? Does the reaction to last year’s demand across retailers suggest a competitive response that may cause them to suffer if the “build and they will not come” outcome prevails ?

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The impact of Airbus’s “asset value guarantees” for the Airbus 340

An article in Bloombergbusinessweek titled “Airbus May Need a Plaid Jacket” (December 9,2013) describes asset value guarantees that Airbus provided for buyers of the A 340 – which promised to compensate buyers of resale values were below a specified level. The rise in fuel prices means that A340s cost 30% more in fuel costs compared to newer airplanes like the Boeing 777X and A350. Resale prices for airplanes purchased for $120 million are now around $20 million, but guarantees are for $60 to $70 million. Airbus is thus forced to find new users for the old planes so that its customers can upgrade to A350s. But will the rising flood of A340s drive down their value even further ? Are such asset value guarantees a necessary evil to drive production volumes, and thus cost decreases, for new airplanes ? Will Airbus have to take back the A340s and lease them to users for short term leases as a way to prop up the market ? How will the engine manufacturer, Rolls Royce, which depended on flight miles to recover costs, have to adjust to face these new realities ?

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Apparel factory fire in Prato, Italy

An article in the New York Times titled “Deadly Factory Fire Bares Racial Tensions in Italy” (December 8, 2013), describes a fire at an apparel factory in Prato that killed seven Chinese employees. The factory had windows that were blocked by bars and no emergency exits. But reports suggest that Italian companies often use Chinese run factories to reduce costs. Should the local buyers, who contract with these manufacturers that violate or ignore local laws to reduce costs, be held responsible for such operating conditions ? Should greater enforcement, even at the cost of reducing incomes for commercial property owners compensating for a shrinking local apparel industry, be demanded ? Will the survival of the Italian apparel supply chain, albeit run such that costs are lower, be the future for Prato ?

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The potential impact of copper concentrate stockpiles in China on copper prices

An article in the Wall Street Journal titled “China’s Stock and Ore for Copper Prices” (November 22,2013) describes the over two months of copper concentrate (crushed copper ore) in inventory at China’s new smelters as against the usual two to three weeks of supply. But will this raw material inventory at the new Chinese smelters mean no price increases for copper if manufacturing picks up in China ? Are the purchases to fill raw material inventory masking the demand decline in the past ? Will the new production capacity for copper further create price drops for copper in the future ?

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Making apparel in the USA and retail prices

An article in the New York Times titled “That ‘Made in the USA’ Premium (December 1,2013) describes the growth in US manufacturing of higher end apparel but the continued difficulty in domestic production of lower cost items. It cites production in New York of women’s clothing sold at Saks and Bloomingdale’s but overseas production for items by the same designers that are sold at JC Penneys. With US labor costs 40% higher than China, retail prices have to increase up to 20% more for domestic manufacturing. Competing on speed of response by US manufacturers is matched by air freight offered by Chinese competitors. Should US manufacturers compete by emphasizing quality, rather than production source alone, to justify the higher prices ? Should the guarantee of production environments and ethical practices be emphasized as a reason for US production ? How should volume retailers like WalMart enable US manufacturing while also serving customer interests ?

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Amazon’s drone delivery plans within 30 minutes

An article in Bloombergbusinessweek (December 9,2013) titled “Why Amazon’s Going Up in the Air”, describes the announcement of plans to use drones to deliver individual items to customers within 30 minutes of placing their order. The range of these drones, carrying up to 5 lbs and travelling 10 miles from Amazon’s distribution center, would help Amazon’s competitiveness in the last mile to the customer. Current deliveries by Amazon’s own trucks face empty return miles and restricted to delivering its parcels, thus hurting competitiveness compared to UPS, FedEx and USPS. Will Amazon’s announcement itself drive down costs for drones and make their use economical ? Will customers be convinced to pay for the cost for such deliveries and will their costs beat the delivery offered using couriers ?

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Should independent bookstores sell Amazon’s Kindles ?

An article in the New York Times titled “An Offer from Amazon to its Most Bitter Rivals” (November 7,2013) describes an offer by Amazon to independent bookstores to sell Kindles in return for one of two options – a 6% price discount and 10% share of revenues purchased on the Kindle or a 9% one time product discount. Given the opportunity to obtain a commission from future sales of e-books, and the dwindling sales in store, should independent bookstores treat this as a new product and thus take the offer ? Will the visibility of patrons to these bookstores enable Amazon to further expand its market and drive out the independent bookstores ? Will facilitating sales on the Kindle enable the bookstores to maintain their customers and thus survive ?

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Traditional vs transparent Pharmacy Benefit Management companies

An article in Fortune magazine titled “Painful Prescription” (October 28,2013) describes a traditional pharmacy benefit manager (PBM), Express Scripts and a transparent PBM, Envision Pharmaceutical Services. Transparent PBMs charge a fixed fee for processing prescriptions while traditional PBMs make money on the spread between their purchase and selling prices, often profiting from sales of generics, whose prices are not standardized. Clients such as Meridian Health Systems, which discovered the margins charged by Express Scripts because it was both a provider and a user of the company, claim that their costs increased when they switched to Express Scripts. Should companies shift to transparent PBMs, who charge a fixed fee, as a means to reduce overall costs ? Will the purchasing volumes of the large PBMs, along with automation of order filling, suggest that traditional PBMs will end up being the distributors of choice in the long run ? Will the Affordable Care Act’s requirement, that participating PBMs have to declare their manufacturer rebates and margins, reduce margins in this industry ?

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Burning wood with coal to comply with EPA emissions rules

An article in the New York Times titled “Power plants try burning wood with coal to cut carbon emissions” (November 4, 2013), describes the use of sawdust and wood chunks along with coal to reduce carbon emissions in US power plants. While wood continues to create emissions, forests that are grown to compensate for the wood harvested remove carbon dioxide which nets out the emissions. Thus, burning wood with coal enables power plants to reduce their emissions. But the inconsistent as well as low availability of wood diminishes the economics of such options. These options are less effective for older plants, which may benefit from being replaced by gas fired alternatives, but may be more suitable to younger plants. Should power plants be permitted to net out the emissions of burning wood with reductions in carbon dioxide from new forest growth ? Should mixed burning be encouraged or discouraged, given the need to reduce emissions altogether ? How should plant operating costs be balanced against environmental impact ?

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France’s inconsistent rules regarding retail store operating hours

An article in the Financial Times titled “France retailers battle restrictive opening hours (November 4,2013) describes rules that permit garden centers, furniture and food stores to be open until 1 pm on Sundays but does not permit do-it-yourself and department stores similar options without special approval. Sephora, a cosmetics retailer, has to shut their Champs Elysees store by 9 pm, while the Monoprix, a food and fashion store, can be open until midnight on weekdays. Sephora claims to sell 20% of its volume between 9 pm and midnight, but some union leaders claim that the option to purchase perfumes late at night is not a social necessity. Should rules across products be required to be consistent to enable more effective competition ? Should the focus of these decisions be consumer preferences or the welfare of union employees or overall economic benefit ? Will such inconsistent operating hours benefit or hurt the consumer ?

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