Estimating Apple’s potential revenue based on supply chain partner volumes

A Bloombergbusinessweek (Sept 12-16, 2011) article describes the Apple company forecast that sales will drop 12 % this quarter. But analysis of Apple’s outsourced supply base consisting og Foxconn, Samsung etc that provide 75 % of Apple’s cost of goods sold, suggests that Apple’s revenue will come it at $ 31.2 billion, in line with a 17 % growth since last quarter. Should markets triangulate a company’s sales based on its supply chain partner companies numbers to estimate potential performance ? Why would Apple underestimate sales – is to to permit the company the option to drop prices to match competitors if necessary ?

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About aviyer2010

Dean and H. William Lichtenberger Chair in Management at the School of Management, University at Buffalo, State University of New York.
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